Specialty Finance: An Expanding World of Opportunity

Text on screen: Specialty Finance: An Expanding World of Opportunity

Text on screen: PIMCO provides services only to qualified institutions and investors. This material is being provided for informational purposes only.

Text on screen: KRIS KRAUS, Portfolio Manager

So, as we think about specialty finance, we're thinking about the world of private lending that sits outside the corporate market. We've seen for many years now the development of the private corporate direct lending market. And as we think about specialty finance, there's this very, very large world that sits outside of that that we've been active in the form that that risk has taken has changed. Some of the risks that we work on underwriting and managing on behalf of clients may have been originally developed years ago in a securitization market, but now in the private markets, we may have better access to information.

People are looking to use alternatives to securitization as they seek to diversify their funding models, and so that’s brought, significant amount of risk as we think about opportunity sets, into these markets for us. So, think about the world of residential credits, the entire consumer complex, from unsecured consumer lending, student loans, auto finance, solar loans, residential solar loans, which are very popular obviously in the world that we’re in today, home improvement loans. Another area that’s seen significant growth.

But then you also have this whole world of non-consumer-related activities, which includes aviation Finance. That’s an enormous market as you think about the growth there globally. There’s a lot going on obviously, in the world of data infrastructure and chip finance. Everyone’s reading about AI and the enormous amount of investment required there. There's a very large world of equipment finance too. So there are many of these parts of the market which actually we touch in our day-to-day lives in an effort to demystify them.

When you think about post-GFC, we all knew that the world was going to be different. We knew that how banks, which had been lets call it the primary source of risk for investment funds such as ourselves and others, that their business model was going to change. The amount of capital that would be required to support trading books as well as risks that you would hold elsewhere within the institution, that that was going to change.

And we've seen that evolution with Basel, and now in the United States, we're talking about the Basel III Endgame, which has a sort of apocalyptic name to it. But it's something that, depending upon where that ultimately lands, institutions are going to have to further grapple with that and we're now in 2024. I think what's been arguably equally as acute or if not even more impactful for institutions has been on the accounting side, the advent of CECL, which is Current Expected Credit Loss, which has led to a material change in how institutions provision for losses in certain parts of their business.

But also to you're seeing partnerships develop with banks. No one, certainly not PIMCO's calling for the death knell of banking. Definitely not. There's a lot of highly profitable banks that do really good work for shareholders and customers, but you're seeing this growing need to develop partnerships with institutions such as ourselves, where we can be an offtake for that type of risk, which helps them mitigate some of that provisioning volatility, helps them mitigate some of the capital volatility. And I think that's something that's going to develop in an even more significant way as we go forward in the world that we're in today.

So that's, again, going back to this, is this sort of a near-term event that could wane over time? I think you're just seeing some fundamental changes in how the economy operates, who are the providers of credit, to those in demand of credit, and I don't think we're going to look back. And there's this room to grow. And as we think about specialty finance alongside direct lending, borrow whatever metaphor you want, direct lending, whether that's in the 6th innings, 7th innings, people can debate, I think for specialty finance, and for asset-based lending more broadly, we're much more at the beginning of the game, and there's just, I think, a lot of tailwinds to support this development.

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A word about risk: Investments in residential/commercial mortgage loans and commercial real estate debt are subject to risks that include prepayment, delinquency, foreclosure, risks of loss, servicing risks and adverse regulatory developments, which risks may be heightened in the case of non-performing loans. Structured products such as collateralized debt obligations are also highly complex instruments, typically involving a high degree of risk; use of these instruments may involve derivative instruments that could lose more than the principal amount invested. Private credit involves an investment in non-publically traded securities which may be subject to illiquidity risk. Portfolios that invest in private credit may be leveraged and may engage in speculative investment practices that increase the risk of investment loss. Private Credit may also be subject to real estate-related risks, which include new regulatory or legislative developments, the attractiveness and location of properties, the financial condition of tenants, potential liability under environmental and other laws, as well as natural disasters and other factors beyond the fund’s control. Equity investments may decline in value due to both real and perceived general market, economic and industry conditions. Investing in banks and related entities is a highly complex field subject to extensive regulation, and investments in such entities or other operating companies may give rise to control person liability and other risks.

Investing in the bond market is subject to certain risks including market, interest-rate, issuer, credit, and inflation risk. Bank loans are often less liquid than other types of debt instruments and general market and financial conditions may affect the prepayment of bank loans, as such the prepayments cannot be predicted with accuracy. There is no assurance that the liquidation of any collateral from a secured bank loan would satisfy the borrower’s obligation, or that such collateral could be liquidated. Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) may involve a high degree of risk and are intended for sale to qualified investors only. Investors may lose some or all of the investment and there may be periods where no cash flow distributions are received. CLOs are exposed to risks such as credit, default, liquidity, management, volatility, interest rate, and credit risk. Investing in distressed loans and bankrupt companies are speculative and the repayment of default obligations contains significant uncertainties. Investing in foreign denominated and/or domiciled securities may involve heightened risk due to currency fluctuations, and economic and political risks, which may be enhanced in emerging markets Mortgage and asset-backed securities may be sensitive to changes in interest rates, subject to early repayment risk, and while generally supported by a government, government-agency or private guarantor there is no assurance that the guarantor will meet its obligations.

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